Top NFL Team Odds to Win the 2025 Super Bowl
The early football betting odds for Super Bowl 59 have been released by major online sportsbooks, and we’ve decided to take a closer look at early favourites and provide insights into next season's NFL competition.
After a memorable final between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs, it's no wonder that the initial NFL betting odds place these two teams as the frontrunners for the NFL 2024/2025 season.
Here's a closer look at the NFL Football teams leading the charge:
- San Francisco 49ers: Positioned at +550, the 49ers, led by Brock Purdy, have the best NFL odds to win the Super Bowl, with comprehensive team strength and exceptional talent on both sides of the ball.
- Kansas City Chiefs: With odds at +650, the Chiefs' recent triumph with Patrick Mahomes leading the team positions them as strong competitors for another championship run.
- Other notable teams include the Baltimore Ravens (+900), Buffalo Bills (+1000), and Detroit Lions (+1200).
Understanding Super Bowl Football Odds:
It might seem unexpected that the Kansas City Chiefs, despite being the current NFL champions, are not at the top of the 2025 NFL betting odds. However, there are a few good reasons for this. First, the San Francisco 49ers have smartly used rookie contracts, such as Brock Purdy's, to form a team that is both financially manageable and competitive.
There is also the historical challenge to consider; no NFL team has won three consecutive Championships, which indicates the difficult task ahead for the Chiefs.
San Francisco 49ers:
Throughout the 2023-24 NFL season, the San Francisco 49ers stood out as the favourites for the Super Bowl title, particularly when the Chiefs experienced a dip in performance during the latter half of the season. The San Francisco 49ers showcased an amazing performance by finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record. Their achievements earned them the highest postseason seed in their conference, and they enjoyed a first-round bye. The team's playoff adventure was marked by significant victories over the Packers and Lions, which led them to this year’s final. However, their quest for the championship concluded with a narrow overtime loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, ending with a score of 25-22.
This outcome sets the stage for the 49ers as they enter the new season. Historically, teams that lose the Super Bowl often face challenges in bouncing back the following year. Yet, the 49ers' roster is uniquely positioned to overcome this trend. With Brock Purdy at quarterback and key players such as Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle driving their strategy, their offensive lineup is among the league's best and highlights both the skill and depth present within the team. These athletes have demonstrated the skill and determination necessary to impact the game significantly, hinting at a promising potential to address and move past last year's near miss.
Given their formidable lineup and last season's achievements, the 49ers are once again anticipated to be at the forefront of the NFC title race.
Kansas City Chiefs: Defending Champions
The Chiefs' victory in Super Bowl 58 marked their second consecutive championship and their third in the last five years, illustrating their recent dominance in the NFL. Their quest for a third consecutive victory presents a never-done before historical challenge. Yet, given their proven track record and a roster led by Patrick Mahomes, they remain formidable contenders. Their strong roster led by Patrick Mahomes, has been enhanced by strategic draft picks.
Finishing the regular season with an 11-6 record and winning the AFC West title for the eighth consecutive year, their playoff run was highlighted by victories over the Dolphins, Bills, and Ravens. The addition of wide receiver Xavier Worthy through the NFL Draft underscores their ambition to further strengthen their offensive lineup and maintain their status as favourites to win their conference.
Strategic Outlook for the 2024/2025 NFL Season
Key factors such as player injuries, draft picks, and strategic decisions will considerably influence both teams' preparedness and performance in the 2024/2025 NFL season as well as the betting odds on these top NFL teams.
- Injury Updates: The physical condition of key players will be crucial for both teams as they prepare for the upcoming season.
- Draft Picks and Trades: The impact of new additions through the draft and any trades will play a significant role in shaping team dynamics and strategies.
Potential Roster Changes:
San Francisco 49ers: There have been widespread rumours of the potential departure of the team's two key receivers, Samual Deebo and Brandon Aiyuk, due to stalled contract extension discussion and salary cap considerations. This significant change in the team's lineup is something for NFL bettors to keep an eye on.
The Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs face a complex situation with wide receiver Kadarius Toney, marked by injury concerns and questions about his future with the team. Despite a challenging tenure with the Chiefs, including 41 receptions for 340 yards and three touchdowns over 20 NFL football games, Toney's performance has been affected by injuries and inconsistencies. The Chiefs must decide on exercising Toney's fifth-year option, which would secure him for 2025 at $14.3 million, a move they seem hesitant to take.
Understanding Super Bowl Futures Betting
Some of the best online sportsbooks promptly release NFL Football odds for the Super Bowl, updating them the day after the current championship concludes. These odds are subject to change across the offseason, influenced by player acquisitions, the NFL Draft, and other factors. Once the season is underway, odds continue to adjust in response to injuries, trades, and the unfolding team performances.
By analysing seasonal trends, and historical data, and adjusting odds, bettors can identify valuable betting opportunities.
NFL Online Sports Betting Trends and Expert Observations
- Recent Winners' Performance: The past 11 champions have all secured at least 11 regular-season victories. This includes the defending champion Chiefs, who recorded an 11-6 record in 2023.
- Chasing History: Those considering betting on the Kansas City Chiefs to win their third consecutive Super Bowl in 2025 should note the historical challenge. No NFL team has achieved three straight wins thus far.
- Previous Season's Record: Making a futures bet on a team that underperformed in the previous season may not be the wisest strategy. Since 2009, only the Philadelphia Eagles in 2017 and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2020 have managed to win the Super Bowl after finishing the prior season with fewer than 10 wins, both recording 7-9.
Success in futures betting depends on staying updated about changes within the NFL. Knowledge of team performances, player injuries, and strategic shifts is crucial for making educated bets.