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When it comes to covering the spread against non-con opponents, SEC reigns supreme

August 16, 2012

Which college football conference fares best against the spread in the non-con portion of its schedule? As you might expect, it’s the SEC, at least over the last four years.

SEC teams are a combined 111-94-1 (54.1 percent) since 2008, which is slightly ahead of both the Pac-12 (52.9%) and the ACC (52.8%). The ACC had covered 56.4 percent of the time over the previous three years but went just 24-31-1 against non-con opponents last season.

The SEC’s ATS dominance comes despite the league having to cover the largest spreads. This year, SEC teams are a projected favorite in 51 of 56 non-con games—and by an average of 23.8 points per gameSEC teams will play just 14 BCS opponents and is a projected favorite in nine of them (by an average of 4.9 points.)

The Mountain West has been the worst ATS team, covering just 46 percent of the time.

You can view non-con records for all leagues below. While a larger sample would be ideal, conferences are constantly changing, so this will give you a decent snapshot of recent history.

* * *

ConferenceATS recordPercentage
ACC103-92-352.8%
Big 1098-106-348.0%
Big 1283-7652.2%
Big East82-81-250.3%
Conference USA91-106-146.2%
Independent65-65-150.0%
MAC106-104-450.5%
Mountain West64-75-346.0%
Pac-1290-80-152.9%
SEC111-94-154.1%
Sun Belt71-83-246.1%
WAC72-74-149.3%

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