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PrintYou people can’t read. Or at least some of you can’t.
Yesterday, after we released point spread projections for all 798 college football games, we showed you what conference standings would look like “if the favorite won every game.” Along with the standings came a disclaimer, one that pointed out that the favorite will not win every game and that the records shouldn’t be taken seriously.
As an example, Cincinnati was projected to finish in a tie for first place in the Big East with a 6-1 record. Quite obviously, we don’t think the Bearcats will finish 6-1. A 4-3 or 3-4 record seems far more likely. But because they were favored in six games—including four by four points or less—their record was inflated and some people freaked.
Below you’ll find far more realistic conference standings projections. Rather than giving favorites the win in every game, we calculated win odds based on the point spreads and then came up with win-loss records.
* * *
ACC
Atlantic
Florida State 7-1
Clemson 6-2
NC State 5-3
Wake Forest 3-5
Boston College 2-6
Maryland 2-6
Coastal
Virginia Tech 6-2
Georgia Tech 5-3
Virginia 4-4
North Carolina 4-4
Miami 3-5
Duke 1-7
* * *
BIG EAST
Louisville 5-2
South Florida 5-2
Cincinnati 4-3
Rutgers 4-3
Pittsburgh 3-4
Connecticut 3-4
Temple 2-5
Syracuse 2-5
* * *
BIG 12
Oklahoma 7-2
Texas 6-3
Oklahoma St 6-3
West Virginia 6-3
TCU 5-4
Kansas St 5-4
Texas Tech 4-5
Baylor 4-5
Iowa St 2-7
Kansas 0-9
* * *
BIG TEN
Legends
Michigan 6-2
Nebraska 5-3
Michigan State 5-3
Iowa 4-4
Northwestern 3-5
Minnesota 2-6
Leaders
Wisconsin 6-2
Ohio State 6-2
Purdue 4-4
Penn State 4-4
Illinois 3-5
Indiana 0-8
* * *
PAC-12
North
Oregon 8-1
Stanford 6-3
Washington 5-4
California 4-5
Washington State 4-5
Oregon State 3-6
South
USC 8-1
Utah 6-3
UCLA 4-5
Arizona 2-7
Colorado 2-7
Arizona State 2-7
* * *
SEC
Eastern
Georgia 6-2
Florida 5-3
South Carolina 5-3
Tennessee 4-4
Missouri 3-5
Vanderbilt 2-6
Kentucky 1-7
Western
LSU 6-2
Alabama 6-2
Arkansas 5-3
Mississippi State 4-4
Auburn 4-4
Texas A&M 3-5
Ole Miss 1-7
