point spread projections

We’ve written post after post after post this football season about projected point spreads and win odds, which has led to the following question multiple times: “How do you convert point spreads to a team’s chance of winning the game?”

The answer: We don’t.

Over the summer, Cantor Gaming released point spreads for every NFL game this season (excluding Week 17, of course). It was a generous endeavor and gave us all plenty to talk about during those boring summer months, but they’ve become a little outdated.

A lot of teams—like the Atlanta Falcons—needed some significant adjustments, so that’s what we tried to do in providing projected point spreads for the rest of the 2012 NFL season.

Use these however you wish. (They can help particularly with planning ahead for your Survivor Pool strategy.)

Each week, we’ll try to project the point spreads for all college football games. If we were bookmakers (and it’s clear we’re not), this is a rough estimate of what we’d set the lines at.

Read on for a list of every projected spread for Week 2 in college football.

Fans of D’Anthony Thomas and the Oregon Ducks should expect to reach double-digit wins for the fifth consecutive season in 2012.

Read on for the ‘win odds’ of every college football team, even lowly Massachusetts.

The SEC has reached a point where it doesn’t exactly need statistical evidence that it’s the most dominant conference in college football.

But if you’re looking for any further proof, take a look at our point spread projections for the non-conference games in 2012.

On Wednesday, we released projected point spreads for all 798 college football games. In the aftermath, the reaction has been mostly strong, though some think we’ve “lost our freaking minds” while others think the whole endeavor is “pretty stupid.”

In any case, there have been plenty of questions—lots of them, in fact—and here are the answers.

This is the second straight year we’ve projected point spreads for every single Division I college football game.

We projected lines for 769 games in 2011, and this year the number has swelled to a whopping 798 games thanks to the recent additions of Texas State, UTSA, South Alabama and UMass.

College football season doesn’t kick off until Aug. 30, but some sportsbooks will begin releasing early point spreads in the coming weeks and months. Unfortunately, all of the games released—usually between 100 and 150, in all—will be matchups between marquee teams.

We’ve decided to project point spreads for all 798 games. Read on for Pac-12 lines.

College football season doesn’t kick off until Aug. 30, but some sportsbooks will begin releasing early point spreads in the coming weeks and months. Unfortunately, all of the games released—usually between 100 and 150, in all—will be matchups between marquee teams.

We’ve decided to project point spreads for all 798 games. Read on for ACC lines.

College football season doesn’t kick off until Aug. 30, but some sportsbooks will begin releasing early point spreads in the coming weeks and months. Unfortunately, all of the games released—usually between 100 and 150, in all—will be matchups between marquee teams.

We’ve decided to project point spreads for all 798 games. Read on for Big Ten lines.

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