Penn State Nittany Lions

It’s not looking pretty in bowl season for the Big Ten, which isn’t favored to win any of its seven matchups.

But things could’ve looked a lot different if Ohio State and Penn State weren’t banned from the postseason. The absence of the Buckeyes and Nittany Lions resulted in a lot of the lower-tier teams getting bumped up a couple notches.

Every college football season, a handful of teams perceived to be somewhere between “good” and “great” suffer stunning early-season losses and the public turns on them completely.

The public overreaction to single-game outcomes can sometimes create added value on these “awful” teams, teams that could still live up to their preseason potential. Let’s take a look at three such teams.

Ohio State and Central Florida compete this weekend in the first annual Bowl-banned Bowl.

Both teams covered the spread in their season opener, but how can we expect them to perform going forward? Read on to see how bowl-banned teams have performed ATS historically.

The best team in the Big Ten Leaders division is ineligible and unable to play in the conference championship while the team previously considered to be a contender is now fifth-best ahead of only Indiana.

If eligible for postseason play, here’s how Ohio State and Penn State would measure up.

After devastating sanctions levied to Penn State and subsequent player transfers, the Nittany Lions’ win total has dropped by a full game and the ‘under’ is now juiced.

Last we checked, there are no ties in college football. If you take wins away from one team, they have to go to another. So, where could Penn State’s extra losses reveal themselves? There are six notable “swing games” on the schedule.

Last week, roughly three hours before the NCAA smacked Penn State with a multi-year bowl ban and numerous other penalties, we wrote a post suggesting that you bet the Nittany Lions’ under 6.5 wins.

Now that the line has shifted to 5.5, is it time to consider a bet on the over?

Early Monday morning, the NCAA is expected to smack the Penn State football program with a handful of sanctions that could include, among other things, a postseason ban and a severe loss of scholarships.

For sports bettors, it raises the obvious question: Is now the optimal time to bet the under on the Nittany Lions’ win total?

In the last 10 years, a 1- or 2-seed has won the Big Ten Tournament nine times, and rarely has an underseeded team advanced to the championship game. But this year’s league is as deep as ever, and seven teams seem to have a realistic chance.

One team that could emerge? The Indiana Hoosiers. They won seven of their final eight games and might be able to make a run as a fifth seed.

BTB’s projected college football over/under win totals continues today with the Big Ten Conference, where the Ohio State Buckeyes are expected to have a turnaround season after last year’s debacle.

Under new coach Urban Meyer, the Buckeyes are projected to win nine games, a half game ahead of Wisconsin, Michigan State and Nebraska. At the bottom, it’s a familiar site: Indiana is expected to win just four games.