Post image for Study: Nationally televised college football games trend under; ESPN games go low 59%

Study: Nationally televised college football games trend under; ESPN games go low 59%

August 16, 2012

Any college football researchers with a few extra hours to spare?

If so, we’d love to see you expand upon this recent study, which found that unders in nationally televised college football games hit at a rate of 59.12 percent over a five-year sample (2001 to 2005.)

We’d be interested to know if this trend continued over the last six years, and if it did, what additional trends have emerged?

The study’s authors, Andrew Weinbach and Rodney J. Paul, theorized that unders would hit far more often than overs merely because of inflated lines. The public generally likes to watch (and root for) high-scoring games, and as such, the theory is that totals for these games are often a few points higher than they should be.

* * *

Over/unders in primetime TV games (2001-2005)

NetworkUnderOverPercentage
ABC402561.5%
CBS473061.1%
NBC101540.0%
ESPN1469859.9%
TOTAL24316859.12%

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