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PrintNick Saban’s Alabama Crimson Tide have won nine straight games dating back to last season, and our updated point spread projections* say there’s a good chance that winning streak continues through the end of the regular season.
*If you’re unfamiliar with how point spreads can be converted to the percentage chance each team has of winning the game, SBR has a handy calculator that helps.
In the LVH SuperBook’s updated Games of the Year lines, Alabama is a 21-point favorite at Missouri in Week 7, an 18-point favorite at Tennessee in Week 8, a 3.5-point favorite at LSU in Week 10 and a 27.5-point favorite in the season finale against Auburn.
We went ahead and filled in the gaps for the Crimson Tide’s remaining games and came up with an implied probability of 11.52 wins. Round that up, and there’s a decent chance that Alabama finishes the regular season 12-0.
Then we did this for every other team in a BCS Conference, a time-consuming process but still interesting nonetheless.
Below are the projected standings for each conference based strictly on point spreads and subsequent win odds.
* * *
ACC
Atlantic
Florida State 11-1 (7-1)
Clemson 9-3 (6-2)
NC State 7-5 (4-4)
Wake Forest 5-7 (3-5)
Maryland 4-8 (2-6)
Boston College 4-8 (2-6)
Coastal
Virginia Tech 7-5 (5-3)
Miami 7-5 (5-3)
North Carolina 7-5 (4-4)
Georgia Tech 7-5 (4-4)
Duke 6-6 (3-5)
Virginia 5-7 (3-5)
BIG EAST
Louisville 10-2 (5-2)
Rutgers 10-2 (5-2)
Cincinnati 9-3 (4-3)
South Florida 8-4 (3-4)
Connecticut 6-6 (3-4)
Pittsburgh 6-6 (3-4)
Syracuse 4-8 (3-4)
Temple 4-7 (2-5)
BIG TEN
Legends
Nebraska 8-4 (5-3)
Michigan State 8-4 (5-3)
Michigan 7-5 (5-3)
Northwestern 8-4 (4-4)
Iowa 6-6 (4-4)
Minnesota 6-6 (2-6)
Leaders
Ohio State 11-1 (7-1)
Purdue 8-4 (5-3)
Wisconsin 7-5 (4-4)
Penn State 6-6 (4-4)
Illinois 5-7 (2-6)
Indiana 3-9 (1-7)
BIG 12
Texas 10-2 (7-2)
West Virginia 9-3 (6-3)
Kansas State 9-3 (6-3)
Oklahoma 8-4 (6-3)
TCU 8-4 (5-4)
Oklahoma State 7-5 (5-4)
Baylor 7-5 (4-5)
Texas Tech 7-5 (4-5)
Iowa State 5-7 (2-7)
Kansas 1-11 (0-9)
PAC-12
North
Oregon 11-1 (8-1)
Oregon State 9-3 (6-3)
Stanford 8-4 (6-3)
Washington 7-5 (5-4)
Washington State 4-8 (2-7)
California 3-9 (2-7)
South
USC 9-3 (7-2)
UCLA 8-4 (5-4)
Arizona State 7-5 (5-4)
Utah 6-6 (4-5)
Arizona 6-6 (3-6)
Colorado 1-11 (1-8)
SEC
East
Georgia 11-1 (7-1)
South Carolina 9-3 (6-2)
Florida 9-3 (6-2)
Tennessee 7-5 (3-5)
Missouri 6-6 (3-5)
Vanderbilt 5-7 (2-6)
Kentucky 3-9 (1-7)
West
Alabama 12-0 (8-0)
LSU 10-2 (6-2)
Mississippi State 8-4 (4-4)
Texas A&M 8-4 (4-4)
Auburn 5-7 (2-6)
Ole Miss 5-7 (2-6)
Arkansas 4-8 (2-6)
