We’re almost through three full rounds of the 2012 French Open, and thus far we’ve seen no real surprises.
(On the men’s side, that is. Women’s favorite Serena Williams was ousted in the first round.)
Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer, Andy Murray and Juan Martin Del Potro — the only five players with any realistic chance of winning the event — have all breezed through their first few matches.
But should we even be saying anyone outside of Nadal has a chance in this tournament?
That bet is off the board now, but it should come back once Saturday’s action is complete.
Before the French Open began, Nadal was listed at -125 to win, ahead of Djokovic (+265), Federer (+915) and Del Potro (+2050). It seems logical to think there’s value on the field in a bet like this, but the field really only includes two or three other players.
Djokovic has beaten Nadal on clay before, but he’s never even made the finals of the French Open, so you’d probably be better off waiting to see if he advances and then take him heads-up against Nadal.
He’ll at least have a better chance than Nadal’s third-round opponent, where a $20,000 bet on Nadal would only net you $100. (No, really. Nadal is a -20000 favorite.)