Post image for NFL Stock Watch: Bears, Bills among teams expected to exceed expectations in 2012

NFL Stock Watch: Bears, Bills among teams expected to exceed expectations in 2012

July 7, 2012

One of the best teams in the NFC last year didn’t even make the playoffs.

The Chicago Bears started 7-3 in 2011 with their only losses coming against three of the conference’s best regular season teams, the Packers, Saints and Lions. Had they finished 3-3, the Bears would have secured a second straight postseason appearance and would have had a legitimate chance at a Super Bowl run.

Instead, Jay Cutler went down with a season-ending thumb injury, Matt Forte missed the last month with a banged-up knee, and the Bears tumbled to a 1-5 finish while losing to teams like the Chiefs, Raiders and Seahawks.

Could the Bears be a strong bounce-back team in 2012? The early action on Cantor Gaming’s NFL win totals seems to suggest that they might, as Chicago is one of only two teams whose total has moved off the opening number.

The Bears opened at 8.5 but are currently at 9, with the over juiced at -125.

A few reasons for Bears optimism:

  • The schedule. The Bears will play five games against teams who have an over/under win total of 6 or less, including games against the Jaguars, Rams, Colts and Vikings (twice).
  • New coordinator. Mike Martz has been replaced by Mike Tice, who is expected to implement a passing game that relies more on underneath routes and quick strikes. In other words, Jay Cutler can expect to be upright far more frequently.
  • Offseason additions. The signing of Brandon Marshall gets all the attention, but don’t be surprised if Alshon Jeffery makes an immediate impact, too. Also: the offensive line should be improved with the return of Gabe Carimi.

The Bears aren’t the only team drawing attention. Below, we’ve provided updated win totals for all 32 teams, and as you’ll see, there have been eight teams whose totals have moved quite a bit.

All “big moves”—those that have moved 50 cents or more—are highlighted in bold.

* * *

TEAMOPENCURRENTSTOCK
New England Patriots12 (over -120)12 (over -125)Up
Green Bay Packers12 (over -125)12 (over -125)Neutral
Philadelphia Eagles10 (over -135)10 (over -150)Up
Houston Texans10 (over -140)10 (over -150)Up
San Francisco 49ers10 (under -135)10 (under -120)Up
New Orleans Saints10 (over -125)10 (under -145)DOWN
Baltimore Ravens10 (under -120)10 (over -115)Up
Pittsburgh Steelers10 (over -125)10 (under -135)DOWN
Detroit Lions9.5 (under -135)9.5 (under -145)Down
San Diego Chargers9 (over -130)9 (over -120)Down
Denver Broncos9.5 (under -120)9.5 (under -180)DOWN
New York Giants9.5 (under -120)9.5 (under -170)DOWN
Chicago Bears8.5 (over -135)9 (over -125)UP
Atlanta Falcons9 (under -135)9 (over -145)UP
New York Jets8.5 (over -115)8.5 (over -135)Up
Dallas Cowboys8.5 (over -125)8.5 (over -150)Up
Kansas City Chiefs8 (over -120)8 (over -120)Neutral
Cincinnati Bengals7.5 (over -130)7.5 (over -170)Up
Miami Dolphins7.5 (under -120)7.5 (under -160)Down
Carolina Panthers7.5 (over -115)7.5 (over -125)Up
Buffalo Bills7 (under -120)7.5 (over -125)UP
Seattle Seahawks7 (under -120)7 (over -145)UP
Tennessee Titans7 (over -130)7 (over -150)Up
Oakland Raiders7 (under -120)7 (over -115)Up
Arizona Cardinals7 (under -120)7 (under -135)Down
Washington Redskins6.5 (under -130)6.5 (under -145)Down
Minnesota Vikings6 (under -130)6 (under -135)Down
St. Louis Rams6 (over -120)6 (over -125)Up
Tampa Bay Bucs6 (under -120)6 (over -115)Up
Indianapolis Colts5.5 (under -135)5.5 (under -170)Down
Jacksonville Jaguars5.5 (under -135)5.5 (under -160)Down
Cleveland Browns5.5 (under -130)5.5 (under -145)Down

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