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PrintThere are tons of ways you can approach betting on the Final Four, and player props are only one of them.
Virtually every offshore sportsbook offers player props for big games like this in some form or another to varying degrees. Some books — like Bovada or Sportsbook.ag — invest a lot of time into coming up with over/unders for a wide variety of player stats. Other books — like BetOnline — don’t, but they still have some.
What I’ve come up with below is a list of which players are “hot” or “cold” in the tournament based on both their season-long statistics and the player props set for them in Saturday’s games. Hot players are listed in red, while cold players are in blue.
Most books are forced to set player props that are relatively close to their season averages, and that makes the most sense.
Don’t mistake a player listed in red or blue as a recommendation on the respective over or under. Simply use this as more information if you’re interested in getting down on some player prop action on Saturday night.
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Note: Most of these player props were lines from Bovada, but some were from either BetOnline or 5Dimes.
LOUISVILLE
KYLE KURIC
Over/Under: 12.5 points, 4.5 rebounds
Season average: 13.1 points, 4.4 rebounds
Tournament average: 9.5 points, 2.3 rebounds
RUSS SMITH
Over/Under: 11.5 points
Season average: 11.4 points
Tournament average: 13.3 points
CHANE BEHANAN
Over/Under: 10.5 points, 7.5 rebounds
Season average: 9.0 points, 7.4 rebounds
Tournament average: 14.0 points, 7.8 rebounds
PEYTON SIVA
Over/Under: 9 points, 5.5 assists
Season average: 9.1 points, 5.5 assists
Tournament average: 9.0 points, 7.0 assists
CHRIS SMITH
Over/Under: 8.5 points
Season average: 10.0 points
Tournament average: 7.3 points
GORGUI DIENG
Over/Under: 19.5 points + rebounds + blocks
Season average: 9.2 points, 9.0 rebounds, 3.2 blocks (21.4)
Tournament average: 7.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, 3.3 blocks (18.3)
KENTUCKY
ANTHONY DAVIS
Over/Under: 15 points, 10.5 rebounds, 4.5 blocks
Season average: 14.3 points, 10.1 rebounds, 4.6 blocks
Tournament average: 14.5 points, 11.0 rebounds, 4.5 blocks
DORON LAMB
Over/Under: 13.5 points
Season average: 13.6 points
Tournament average: 16.8 points
TERRENCE JONES
Over/Under: 20.5 points + rebounds
Season average: 12.6 points, 7.2 rebounds (19.8)
Tournament average: 13.5 points, 8.8 rebounds (22.3)
MICHAEL KIDD-GILCHRIST
Over/Under: 20.5 points + rebounds
Season average: 12.0 points, 7.6 rebounds (19.6)
Tournament average: 13.5 points, 7.3 rebounds (20.8)
MARQUIS TEAGUE
Over/Under: 14.5 points + assists
Season average: 10.0 points, 4.8 assists (14.8)
Tournament average: 14.5 points, 5.3 assists (18.8)
DARIUS MILLER
Over/Under: 10.5 points
Season average: 10.0 points
Tournament average: 13.0 points
OHIO STATE
JARED SULLINGER
Over/Under: 17.5 points, 9.5 rebounds
Season average: 17.6 points, 9.1 rebounds
Tournament average: 18.0 points, 8.3 rebounds
DESHAUN THOMAS
Over/Under: 16.5 points, 6.5 rebounds
Season average: 16.1 points, 5.4 rebounds
Tournament average: 21.8 points, 8.5 rebounds
WILLIAM BUFORD
Over/Under: 13.5 points
Season average: 14.4 points
Tournament average: 11.8 points
AARON CRAFT
Over/Under: 18.5 points + rebounds + assists
Season average: 8.8 points, 3.3 rebounds, 4.7 assists (16.8)
Tournament average: 10.3 points, 4.0 rebounds, 5.8 assists (20.1)
LENZELLE SMITH JR.
Over/Under: 12.5 points + rebounds
Season average: 6.7 points, 4.6 rebounds (11.3)
Tournament average: 11.3 points, 5.5 rebounds (16.8)
KANSAS
THOMAS ROBINSON
Over/Under: 18.5 points, 11.5 rebounds
Season average: 17.7 points, 11.8 rebounds
Tournament average: 15.8 points, 12.5 rebounds
TYSHAWN TAYLOR
Over/Under: 21.5 points + assists
Season average: 16.7 points, 4.7 assists (21.4)
Tournament average: 12.0 points, 3.8 assists (15.8)
JEFF WITHEY
Over/Under: 19.5 points + rebounds + blocks
Season average: 9.2 points, 6.2 rebounds, 3.5 blocks (18.9)
Tournament average: 8.5 points, 6.0 rebounds, 5.0 blocks (19.5)
ELIJAH JOHNSON
Over/Under: 10.5 points
Season average: 10.0 points
Tournament average: 13.5 points
TRAVIS RELEFORD
Over/Under: 14.5 points + rebounds + assists
Season average: 8.5 points, 4.2 rebounds, 1.8 assists (14.5)
Tournament average: 8.3 points, 4.0 rebounds, 0.8 assists (13.1)
