Wednesday MLB

[BetATL]

Mets @ Braves - 12:35 P.M. EST

Get away day for both clubs so lineups will probably be a bit altered, I know McCann will probably get the day off for the Braves. Both starters will be facing the opposing offense for the second time this year. Jurrjens struggling right now as batters are hitting at a .341 clip against him this season in two starts. However, Jurrjens does has historically pitched pretty well against the Mets. Dickey's looked solid this year and has pretty good numbers against the Braves. Mets have had the Braves number this year winning all 4 games against them going into Tuesday. Conflicting angles on the total for me here but may look for a Mets play if the line is high enough.

Pirates @ D'Backs - 3:40 P.M. EST

Get away day for the Pirates. Pirates' bats are continuing to struggle as they scored just 1 run Monday night, the 5th time already they've been held to 1 or 0 runs. They do have pretty good team numbers against Hudson though. Hudson struggling so far this season as he's already given up 4 HR and batters are hitting .333 against him. James McDonald with limited history against the D'Backs but the batters he has faced, he's faired well against. Pirates have lost 6 of 7 and there's a good chance it will be 7 of 8 heading into Wednesday. However, the Pirates will probably a good sized dog and I actually think there could be some value on them if we see a big enough number.

Astros @ Nationals - 7:05 P.M. EST

Zimmerman's one start against the Astros wasn't great last year but tomorrow's lineup will be a different looking lineup then the one he faced. 'Stros starters Lucas Harrell with one good start and one bad start and not a lot of history vs the Nats lineup so not sure what to expect. Can't imagine he will pitch to deep into the game though so I do expect some innings from an average Houston bullpen. Houston has lost 5 of 6 and it's tough to back them on the road, especially against a Nats team that is playing good ball. May actually play on the Nats if the line isn't high enough.

Cubs @ Marlins - 7:10 P.M. EST

Cubs hitting .293 off of lefties this year, much better than they've hit right handers. However, they don't have good individual numbers against Beuhrle. Garza had an impressive start in his only start against the Marlins last season but they actually have pretty good individual numbers against him. Neither team with a great bullpen so could be some runs late. Will be looking for an over number but will probably wait and see umpire assignments before I pull a trigger.

Dodgers @ Brewers - 8:10 P.M. EST

Looking for Greinke to have a bounce back game at home here against the Dodgers. He pitched better than the results at Chicago and he had a very good start in his one outing against the Dodgers last season. The lefty Capuano on the hill for the Dodgers and Brewers are hitting .280 as a team against lefties. Capuano is average but probably won't pitch too deep into the game so I expect to get a decent amount of innings out of Dodgers bullpen, which has looked really good so far. Brewers bullpen on the other hand has looked terrible and ranks last in the NL. If anything, may look at a first 5 play here on the Brewers if the line is cheap enough.

Reds @ Cardinals - 8:15 P.M. EST

Cardinals playing better ball than the Reds are. Latos had a great start against the Reds last season but that was at PetCo, where he traditionally pitched well. He has gotten shelled in his two starts at Busch stadium. Garcia will be facing the Reds for the 2nd time this season. He's had good success against them in the past, especially at Busch Stadium but was touched up in the previous start against the Reds earlier this season. Despite having two big lefty bats in the lineup the Reds are hitting much better against them then they are against right handers. May look for an over play here but again will probably wait until umpire assignments for the series are given tonight.

Padres @ Rockies - 8:40 P.M. EST

Both teams on get away night. Richard has struggled in his last two starts at Coors Field. Nicasio had two very solid starts against the Padres last season. Neither team has hit lefties well so far this season. Like the Rockies here. Believe the Padres may win Tuesday night, which would put the Rockies in a situation where they'd be looking to avoid the sweep. If that's the case I like them even more. If can get them at a reasonable price will probably hop on board.

Phillies @ Giants - 10:05 P.M. EST

Great pitching matchup here. Giants hitting just .182 against lefties. Lee had one of his best starts of his season last year in San Fran as he pitched a CG shutout. Cain with really good numbers against the Phillies. Figure this one to be a really low scoring game. Would probably play under here even if we see 6.5.

[ScottKimberly]

Posted wrong day.

[BetATL]

Before the lines are released, can someone give me a quick tutorial of an easy way to take a screen shot and post the picture here? I'm on a MacBook Pro.

I know a long way that involves taking a partial screenshot, resizing and posting but there has to be quicker way.

Thanks in advance.

[BetATL]

Lines are out.

Went with the Reds/Cardinals Over 7.5 (+100) and Pirates ML (+165) at the open.

Will be looking to pull the trigger on a few other totals but don't like the current juice situation. Also will be looking to see if a few more ML opportunities may open up after lines move.

Thoughts?

[ChiefZilla]

Probably a little late on these but here ya go...

[DOP]

I'd say Greinke is overpriced at that number. I like Oakland at that number.

[DOP]

Here are my AL notes:

Twins (Marquis) v. Yankees -225 (Kuroda)
I wont touch this side or total and I probably won't take much information away from the game either. If Marquis somehow dazzles, I'd chalk it to the Yankees being unfocused. If Kuroda dazzles, I'd chalk it to pitching against the Twins.
That being said, the Twins bats have become a bit more respectable. I wouldn't be surprised to see the total go 10.5, in which case I'd consider an under but very doubtful.

Rangers+117 (Holland) v. Red Sox (Beckett)
Listen, the way Texas hits and BoSox terrible pen I think +117 is a great price. Generally speaking, Holland = Beckett these days. I like Texas' bullpen and lineup more too. I don't see any reason to lay w/ Boston here. It does not mean I'll play Texas though as I always tend to do additional research when LHP is involved.

Rays (Price) v. Blue Jays -110 (Morrow)
Immediate thought is Morrow is undervalued here and its quickly become too teams in different directions. Madden address that the catcher change could be the reason for poor SP so far and I would not underrate that comment. I think the BTB's forum discussion liked Morrow as a underrated pitcher and I 100% agree. All the sabermetrics say it should happen. while I think Price is undervalued as an asset, he gets ace lines and hasnt peformed like one yet for an extended period.

Orioles +142 (Hunter) v. ChiSox (Peavy)
While I think ChiSox are underrated as a team, their offense is too stagnant to lay heavy. Peavy has looked great so I'll likely pass but these are two pretty equal teams and Hunter is a bit erratic but underrated. I'd even give Baltimore a bit of a mental edge after stealing that win Monday and coming back with another win today.

A's +154 (Colon) v. Angels (Santana)
big fat Colon has been big fat unpredictable but i guess thats a good thing. I'll take a dog that has a 50/50 chance at being great or blowing up.. as compared to someone with a 100% chance of going 6ip, 3er. With Colon, I think he is a solid play until he burns out again because he is secretly 48 years old.

Indians (Lowe) v. Mariners +105 (Vargas)
self imposed rule: never lay with Lowe. why Cleveland continues to be favored in this series is questionable? Are they really that much better than Seattle that when two pitchers I consider equal throw, Cleveland should go off -110? No way.

Nothing is official. My picks tend to be fluid and Wednesday does seem a bit tough. I know I didn't provide a ton of "data" but the above words are my general mindset when looking at the lines. Good luck guys.

what do you guys think about the AL tomorrow?

[johnny00]

Hi Guys!

I`m taking Philadelphia @San Fran today... think they have a good chance, and also a good line on them +100

worth trying for sure!

[BetATL]

Good work on the AL DOP.

I think "lack of data" may actually be a good thing early on in the season. Few of the data angles I've used so far have held water.

[acfrahm]

I like the Under in ATL this afternoon. Getaway day, Welke behind the plate, Braves usually have trouble with Dickey (although this is the 2nd time they've seen him already). Think there is value under 7.5.

Also like the Marlins at -123 and I agree that the Brewers line is inflated with Grienke on the mound.