Sharps

[jimmysingh9]

(11-02-2011 11:46 AM)Skating Tripods Wrote:  

(11-02-2011 11:35 AM)jimmysingh9 Wrote:  Great Information. But the last two paragraphs I think will further emphasize the overreaction to people using sharp side. If Sharps are indeed hitting around a 54% clip or even 2-3% better. There is no point in finding out where the Sharp side is.

Unless you are playing every single side that Sharps play. You are basically coin flipping which side of a Sharp Play you are on(the winning side/losing side). sure you will have a 4-7% better chance than a coin flip in the long run. But that is nothing to make a wager over.

No, but this year is a bad example of the sharp v. square debate. Heavy public teams tend to do well against the spread, but they don't do it all at once the way they have this year.

Where the sharp sides make their money is on the non-marquee games. They're always going to have opinions on marquee games and those are the ones people want to see but the lines are tighter and they have a harder time finding the necessary value.

Just like there are public teams, there are sharp teams as well. The last couple years, I've noticed sharps gravitating to LA Tech, Bowling Green, and North Carolina.

Like I said, the 2-3% isn't much with what most of us bet. Putting your faith in sharps is just like listening to a stockbroker. Same with buying picks from touts. Same with blindly following sharps on Saturday/Sunday.

Agree. But it seems to be a problem with the betting public or should I say the bettor that is looking to be knowledgeable. Take for example the LSU/Bama game. a poster here said that roughly 70+% is on LSU but the line isnt moving, so maybe heavy money on Bama.

Alot of people are trying to always find the so called "sharp" side in every play, which I dont think is the way to go.

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(11-02-2011 11:46 AM)Skating Tripods Wrote:  

(11-02-2011 11:35 AM)jimmysingh9 Wrote:  Great Information. But the last two paragraphs I think will further emphasize the overreaction to people using sharp side. If Sharps are indeed hitting around a 54% clip or even 2-3% better. There is no point in finding out where the Sharp side is.

Unless you are playing every single side that Sharps play. You are basically coin flipping which side of a Sharp Play you are on(the winning side/losing side). sure you will have a 4-7% better chance than a coin flip in the long run. But that is nothing to make a wager over.

No, but this year is a bad example of the sharp v. square debate. Heavy public teams tend to do well against the spread, but they don't do it all at once the way they have this year.

Where the sharp sides make their money is on the non-marquee games. They're always going to have opinions on marquee games and those are the ones people want to see but the lines are tighter and they have a harder time finding the necessary value.

Just like there are public teams, there are sharp teams as well. The last couple years, I've noticed sharps gravitating to LA Tech, Bowling Green, and North Carolina.

Like I said, the 2-3% isn't much with what most of us bet. Putting your faith in sharps is just like listening to a stockbroker. Same with buying picks from touts. Same with blindly following sharps on Saturday/Sunday.

Adding to this point and another point. Great point about Sharp playing Non-Marquee Games, but you have once against Todd Fuhrman, Chad Millman and others posting on Twitter alot of marquee games that Sharps have hit.

Another Question, what about the NFL. arent they basically all marquee games?