NFL Props At 5Dimes....

[Betropolitan]

QUOTE....
Love stuff like this. I actually placed a few of these already, but I didn't know the exact stats.

When I see something like this, though, I hate blindly betting on all of them. I guess I'm more of a risk-taker than some, but I like just picking out a few and making slightly bigger bets, rather than just putting, say, one "unit" on each.

My thoughts:

Browns +4000

At 40-1? Sign me up. We don't know what to expect from Weeden/Richardson, but they have a semblance of a defense and now actually some offensive talent. Don't bet the house, but, c'mon. 40-1 is worth a flier.

Buccaneers +1350

They were set up for disaster last year. Now Freeman is getting those "he's rededicated" stories, and he was good before. A lot of his picks last year were bad luck. Doug Martin's a nice addition. Decent talent. Again, worth a flier.

Chiefs +380

As BTB said, probably makes sense to wait. No need to blindly bet them just because of these stats.

Colts +3000

I'd be shocked if they won the division. Legitimately shocked. Go for it if you want, but I just don't see it.

Dolphins* +1900

Tannehill/Moore to Bess? Championship? Deep stable of backs, OK defense, 0% chance of beating the Pats. Just not worth it.

Rams +1000

I'd like better than 10/1 on a team that was this inept last season. Can't blame you for taking a flier, but I think you're better off checking out the Seahawks or Cardinals if you think the Niners are overvalued (which I'm undecided on personally, at this point).

Redskins +1400

Love it. Is it likely a rookie QB is winning this division? No. But they're way better than given credit for, and the rest of the division is really good, but not even close to invincible. Skins are always competitive for much of the season, even without a quarterback. Now they have one. And even kind of a receiving corps. Those were always their problems.

I bet on Skins NFC 'ship and Super Bowl, too, a while ago.

Vikings +4000

It's hard for me to tell you not to bet on a team 40-1 to win a division. Those odds are pretty ridiculous. But... c'mon. Look at their division. I'm not dumb enough to think the Packers are a sure thing... but is either the Packers, Bears, OR Lions winning this thing a sure thing? Almost. Not worth throwing money away, in my opinion.
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(08-12-2012 10:06 PM)jimmysingh9 Wrote:  Honestly, not overhyping the game today. but the best value knowing that Andrew Luck will be at least adequate would be Colts +3000.

The reason is no team is a runaway to win the division. Tenn and Jaks both have major questions. Houston will be the best team, but they lost some parts on defense and aren't invincible.

Every other Division, I can see a front runner or two teams better than the highest odd team.

My take:

Agree with Colts flier at this point...granted...Rams defense...first preseason game...but come on...Jacksonville and Tennessee...then you obviously have favorite in Houston...but if Colts can compete with Houston...I will take those odds I think...

Also updated odds up top... some interesting moves on 5Dimes since I posted...Colts moved to +3300 to win divison