MLB team experts thread [volunteers wanted]
04-22-2012, 11:56 PM
RE: MLB team experts thread [volunteers wanted]
Twins update 4/22
run diff: -27 (30th)
After the awful start for the Twinkies, over the last week or so they have been feisty against the Yankees and Rays. On 4/23 Twins start a series vs Boston. After playing Rangers, Yankees, Rays, and Red sox the Twins schedule lightens up.
3 vs KC
3 @ LAA
3 @ SEA
3 vs LAA
The Twins should be able to get some wins in those 12 games, and produce some profit as the market is still bearish on them, especially against the overrated Angels.
The Twins offense has picked up lately as the front of the lineup has been able to do some damage. Mauer is starting to pick it back up .295 average and .386 OBP, Willingham and Span are also putting up decent stats. The back end up the lineup has been and still is awful, don't see that changing this year as the Twins' are lacking depth.
This is where the Twins have been terrible. Only Boston has been worse in most pitching stats. Every single game this year Minnesota has allowed 3 runs or more. Hendricks is interesting as he is an unknown, and could do well against teams that have never faced him before. Pavano is very mediocre and is good for 3-5 runs against an outing. Liriano is erratic, he could pull of a gem of a start but will more likely give up more than 10 runs.
The Twins should be a bet on team in the next few weeks, as their schedule gets softer. As long as the market is bearish on them, the Twins should be priced high enough to turn a profit.
The Twins are 7-9 O/U, I expect the overs to start hitting more. The front of the lineup is starting to hit, and the Twins pitching is dreadful. Recommend the Twins as an over team.
It is a small sample size but in each of the 5 wins the game total has been 9 or more. If the Twins win, odds are their bats are clicking. If playing their side, maybe put a little on a parlay with the over and get +400 or +500.
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