MLB stats: Which ones are relevant to handicapping?

[mount187]

(05-08-2012 04:47 PM)MrLomez Wrote:  But, this is only true, if your betting model ALSO takes into account a team's defense. Jeremy Hellickson will always outperform his DIPs, but so long as you factor in that Tampa's defense will prevent x number of runs per game, the discrepancy will be accounted for.

I should have made this point and didn't. If you're going to use a model that values pitchers based on "fielding independent" stats, then you have to factor in fielding in some other way. Good catch, Mr. Lomez, and thanks for bringing this up.