MLB Season Thread

[ChiefZilla]

(09-06-2011 01:29 PM)Beyond the Bets Wrote:  Over/under on Stephen Strasburg strikeouts: 4.5.

Is that an actual line somewhere or did you just make that up?

[Skating Tripods]

(09-06-2011 02:16 PM)ChiefZilla Wrote:  

(09-06-2011 01:29 PM)Beyond the Bets Wrote:  Over/under on Stephen Strasburg strikeouts: 4.5.

Is that an actual line somewhere or did you just make that up?

Bodog has it. -155 on the over.

[ChiefZilla]

(09-06-2011 02:19 PM)Skating Tripods Wrote:  

(09-06-2011 02:16 PM)ChiefZilla Wrote:  

(09-06-2011 01:29 PM)Beyond the Bets Wrote:  Over/under on Stephen Strasburg strikeouts: 4.5.

Is that an actual line somewhere or did you just make that up?

Bodog has it. -155 on the over.

Ah, ok the juice makes more sense. Strasburg only went under 4.5 K's once in 12 starts last year.

[Skating Tripods]

(09-06-2011 02:22 PM)ChiefZilla Wrote:  Ah, ok the juice makes more sense. Strasburg only went under 4.5 K's once in 12 starts last year.

Supposedly, he's on a 60-pitch pitch count. We'll see how that goes for him. Hard to imagine he doesn't get 5, but if his control is off early, he might only go 4 innings.

[SkyBlues42]

Can't see him staying in too long though. They'll prolly yank him on a low pitch count.

4.5 is a good line, but if he strikes out the side in the first, look out.

[ChiefZilla]

Four strikeouts through four innings for Strasburg. Nats up 3-0. Not sure what his pitch count is at but I can't imagine he'll go past the fifth. Like we thought, very sharp line.

[Skating Tripods]

(09-06-2011 07:27 PM)ChiefZilla Wrote:  Four strikeouts through four innings for Strasburg. Nats up 3-0. Not sure what his pitch count is at but I can't imagine he'll go past the fifth. Like we thought, very sharp line.

56 pitches through 5. Went enough for the win. I bet he's done. Looks like he had good stuff though.

The under was +125. I almost did it for the hell of it.

[itg_sports]

The Reds and Cubs total is at 6. I know Cueto has been dealing but both of these teams go over more than they don't. This number is too low. I don't buy the trap game on this one. I am thinking Over. Any opinions?

[Skating Tripods]

(09-07-2011 02:57 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  The Reds and Cubs total is at 6. I know Cueto has been dealing but both of these teams go over more than they don't. This number is too low. I don't buy the trap game on this one. I am thinking Over. Any opinions?

Cueto's ERA is a run and a half higher on the road than at home. His highest monthly ERA in his career is during September when he starts to fatigue.

Plus, Ryan Dempster is still Ryan Dempster. He'll give up at least 3. If you think Cueto stays true to his road ERA (2.90), that's basically 6 right there.

[itg_sports]

(09-07-2011 03:06 PM)Skating Tripods Wrote:  

(09-07-2011 02:57 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  The Reds and Cubs total is at 6. I know Cueto has been dealing but both of these teams go over more than they don't. This number is too low. I don't buy the trap game on this one. I am thinking Over. Any opinions?

Cueto's ERA is a run and a half higher on the road than at home. His highest monthly ERA in his career is during September when he starts to fatigue.

Plus, Ryan Dempster is still Ryan Dempster. He'll give up at least 3. If you think Cueto stays true to his road ERA (2.90), that's basically 6 right there.

Sold!

[TheBrick]

(09-07-2011 03:06 PM)Skating Tripods Wrote:  

(09-07-2011 02:57 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  The Reds and Cubs total is at 6. I know Cueto has been dealing but both of these teams go over more than they don't. This number is too low. I don't buy the trap game on this one. I am thinking Over. Any opinions?

Cueto's ERA is a run and a half higher on the road than at home. His highest monthly ERA in his career is during September when he starts to fatigue.

Plus, Ryan Dempster is still Ryan Dempster. He'll give up at least 3. If you think Cueto stays true to his road ERA (2.90), that's basically 6 right there.

84% of tickets on the OVER and the books aren't moving the line off of 6? They aren't that dumb. The line on the game has dropped from Reds -130 to -112 now. This total and that line move tell me that Dempster is going to deal tonight and the Cubs are the play.

[itg_sports]

I won't dispute that the Cubs are the play but Dempster could deal and it be a 4-2 game with both pitchers bringing their A-game. I could see this one being 3-3 in the top of the 4th with stress-free action the rest of the way.

[itg_sports]

(09-07-2011 05:41 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  I won't dispute that the Cubs are the play but Dempster could deal and it be a 4-2 game with both pitchers bringing their A-game. I could see this one being 3-3 in the top of the 4th with stress-free action the rest of the way.

Try 1-0 top of the 4th.

[Skating Tripods]

(09-07-2011 08:00 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  

(09-07-2011 05:41 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  I won't dispute that the Cubs are the play but Dempster could deal and it be a 4-2 game with both pitchers bringing their A-game. I could see this one being 3-3 in the top of the 4th with stress-free action the rest of the way.

Try 1-0 top of the 4th.

Ye of little faith.

[TheBrick]

(09-07-2011 05:26 PM)TheBrick Wrote:  

(09-07-2011 03:06 PM)Skating Tripods Wrote:  

(09-07-2011 02:57 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  The Reds and Cubs total is at 6. I know Cueto has been dealing but both of these teams go over more than they don't. This number is too low. I don't buy the trap game on this one. I am thinking Over. Any opinions?

Cueto's ERA is a run and a half higher on the road than at home. His highest monthly ERA in his career is during September when he starts to fatigue.

Plus, Ryan Dempster is still Ryan Dempster. He'll give up at least 3. If you think Cueto stays true to his road ERA (2.90), that's basically 6 right there.

84% of tickets on the OVER and the books aren't moving the line off of 6? They aren't that dumb. The line on the game has dropped from Reds -130 to -112 now. This total and that line move tell me that Dempster is going to deal tonight and the Cubs are the play.

Dempster surely didn't deal. He "scattered" 10 hits in 6 plus innings, but the Cubbies got the W nonetheless. Nice call on that Over, everyone wins tonight.

[SkyBlues42]

Finally.. some winners!

[itg_sports]

(09-07-2011 09:13 PM)Skating Tripods Wrote:  

(09-07-2011 08:00 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  

(09-07-2011 05:41 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  I won't dispute that the Cubs are the play but Dempster could deal and it be a 4-2 game with both pitchers bringing their A-game. I could see this one being 3-3 in the top of the 4th with stress-free action the rest of the way.

Try 1-0 top of the 4th.

Ye of little faith.

In the words of Bill Simmons, I was trying the "Reverse Jinx"