Lets all predict how the Reds will do in their next 10 games..

[gynecologist]

Lets have some fun here and see if anyone gets it right.. who knows if you think they will go 6-4 you may profit, 7-3 or better you make bank. So maybe we might want to bet them every game during this 10 game stretch. I know they are in a 4 game losing streak but you know that wont last, if anything it might prove a good thing because the Reds wont play flat. Pirates and Cards breathing down their neck.

4 @ Cubs
3 vs Mets
3 vs Cubs


10 games.. Lets predict their record in these 10 games. Pretty easy schedule I'd say..

[louiemdj]

3-7 sounds right.

[gynecologist]

lol then you make a grip fading them then.

[ChiefZilla]

Against those teams, with two of the series at home, I think you'd have to go better than 6-4 to turn a profit. I'll say 6-4.

[louiemdj]

(08-09-2012 01:20 PM)gynecologist Wrote:  lol then you make a grip fading them then.

BTB came with some stats and an article earlier this year that it's better to ride winning streaks and losing streaks than to try and bet when they will be snapped. I'm talking baseball only.

Reds have played way too good as of late, and they are due to regress. They seem to be showing it too. No Votto, and their starting pitching is overrated.

The Cards and Pirates breathing down their neck isn't going to give them a better chance to win either. They would be trying to win regardless. It's similar to betting teams that are in "must win" situations. Doesn't really help.

[SkyBlues42]

I'll give them 7-3, with a slight lean toward 8-2.

[ChiefZilla]

Yeah, "must win" scenarios in baseball, anytime before September 20-30, are LOL-able.

[gynecologist]

6-4 will show profit I imagine.. slight.

I dont think the avg price will be -200, do you?

[gynecologist]

Okay lets try this out:

flat bet each game. lets just say half unit for shits and giggles..


0.5* Reds -155

I'll track this, lets see how this does.

[louiemdj]

(08-09-2012 01:41 PM)gynecologist Wrote:  Okay lets try this out:

flat bet each game. lets just say half unit for shits and giggles..


0.5* Reds -155

I'll track this, lets see how this does.

Might as well track the other side of it too...

[ChiefZilla]

(08-09-2012 01:40 PM)gynecologist Wrote:  6-4 will show profit I imagine.. slight.

I dont think the avg price will be -200, do you?

If avg price was -200, you'd make $600 and lose $800, so that's a 2-unit loss.

What would avg price have to be to break even at 6-4? -180?

[The Cosmic Kid]

Has anybody said 4-6 yet? I'll say 4-6.

[Betropolitan]

probably just end up going 5-5...

[gynecologist]

(08-09-2012 02:14 PM)louiemdj Wrote:  

(08-09-2012 01:41 PM)gynecologist Wrote:  Okay lets try this out:

flat bet each game. lets just say half unit for shits and giggles..


0.5* Reds -155

I'll track this, lets see how this does.

Might as well track the other side of it too...

LOL thats funny..

[gynecologist]

(08-09-2012 03:18 PM)ChiefZilla Wrote:  

(08-09-2012 01:40 PM)gynecologist Wrote:  6-4 will show profit I imagine.. slight.

I dont think the avg price will be -200, do you?

If avg price was -200, you'd make $600 and lose $800, so that's a 2-unit loss.

What would avg price have to be to break even at 6-4? -180?

break even is -150

[ChiefZilla]

(08-09-2012 05:15 PM)gynecologist Wrote:  break even is -150

Ok, so yeah. I stand by my statement that you'll have to go better than 6-4 to turn a profit.

[ChicosBailBonds]

Dusty treats the Cubs series like its the World Series, ever since he was fired by them.

[louiemdj]

0-1

[gynecologist]

0-1 -0.77 units


I really like the Reds chances today.. Think I'm going to go a full unit on this one.

1* Reds -132

[ChicosBailBonds]

The Cubs have won once since the trade deadline.