Friday MLB

[BetATL]

Go ahead and putting this up for Friday.

Will have some NL thoughts up shortly.

[DOP]

I'll try to expand later but Hendricks is my favorite underdog to win tomorrow. I'm pretty confident the price will be right. I dont like taking RL in the American League so it might be my biggest dog play so far.

[JSpauny]

(04-19-2012 10:53 AM)DOP Wrote:  I'll try to expand later but Hendricks is my favorite underdog to win tomorrow. I'm pretty confident the price will be right. I dont like taking RL in the American League so it might be my biggest dog play so far.

I'm with DOP. Really like Sota tomorrow. My model has it listed as the best play on the board as well. And no doubt the price will be right.

[DOP]

What do you think it comes out at? +160? Considering "how good Matt Moore is" and "how bad the Twins are"

I'm also going to look into Zambrano. The Nats are winning because of pitching and they are getting priced too high right now b/c they are playing the worst offensive team in the NL since the San Diego Padres.. when the MArlins come to town, things might be different and detweiler is due a stinker.
If he lands anything about +130, I'd be interested

Also wondering what kind of price Marcum falls at? It'll likely be too high for me to play -1 but its a classic home teams awesome at home/ road team sucks on road series..

[JSpauny]

The price machine projects it as +126. I think bookmakers have to account for moore's eaely struggles and the rays offensive woes. So I think the premium on moore and the rays is going to be very small. Don't think the line will open as high as we would have thought a month ago.

[DOP]

twins 155
marlins only 105, thats surprising.
marcum's price looks right.

[lindetrain]

I played the Twinkies. Marcum laying too much IMO.

[BetATL]

Thought about playing the Cubs at +115 but it moved to quick to +100, where I think the line should be around. Will wait to see if it comes back up.

Other than that, not too much I like in the NL right now.

[gynecologist]

Hoping Padres team total is 3 with little juice.. Hamels has straight up owned the Pads bats and is from the SD area so he will be pumped with plenty of family and friends watching. Petco works to his favor.

I dont see Pads scoring 4 runs in what should be a low scoring game..


Yanks appear to be a good play..

[JetsMetsRangers]

Drabek vs Hochevar, Tor -120... isn't that a bit low? Drabek has looked great his first two starts while Hochevar... has not.

Thoughts?

[gynecologist]

Hochevar pitched well in his first start and had a good spring but is always hard to trust... He usually is a better home pitcher.. Line does seem a bit low..

[BetATL]

I'm liking the Braves/D'Backs Under now that the total is at 9.

Beachy has been a little under the radar but has good stuff with great control. D'Backs lineup is being bit by the injury bug right now.

Braves haven't seen Cahill, advantage Cahill.

Both bullpens are strong.

Umpire will be Rob Drake, who is more of an under umpire and has a good sized strike zone.

Will take 10 to beat it, thoughts?

[gynecologist]

off the surface sounds like a solid play.. az's bats arent doing much now.

neither lineup has seen much of opposing pitcher.. good BPs, why not.

[gynecologist]

does anyone here not like lance lynn from STL? line seems awfully short.

[lindetrain]

Welcome gyno...

[RyanParrill]

(04-20-2012 03:35 AM)lindetrain Wrote:  Welcome gyno...

Agreed, we'll always appreciate your opinion.

[BetATL]

(04-19-2012 10:45 PM)gynecologist Wrote:  does anyone here not like lance lynn from STL? line seems awfully short.

My fear here is Charlie Morton, I never know what to expect from him. I also think the Cards are due for some offensive regression. On the other hand the Pirates offense is pretty rough and Cardinals have been playing well.

I would play Pitt if they got in the +140 range and Cards if they got in the -110 range but anything in between gonna lay off.

[Skating Tripods]

Anybody understand the money pouring in on Seattle tonight against Sale? Sale's been pretty good in his two starts while Noesi's been one good and one bad. Sale's deadly on LHB and Mariners have a bunch of shitty RHBs. I know the White Sox aren't hitting, but I really think Sale throws a gem.