College Football Picks

[kreatture]

There doesn't seem to be a whole lot of movement with the Reputation points for guys, so I thought maybe an idea like this would help it along..

How bout a thread where you are welcome to post your picks you feel really strongly about, in order to possibly assist the community here if they're on the fence with a game. The catch (ah, yes, there's always a catch!), your Reputation can go up or down based on your pick's outcome Meaning.. if you pick a winner, BTB (or anyone who used that pick and actually wagered money on it) will grant you +Reputation.. but if you lose your posted pick, your Rep will go down..

I think if your pick is a winner or loser, BTB can add or deduct 1 pt automatically.. and anyone else who bet on that pick can also add or deduct pts if it made them money, or cost them a few bucks.

What do you think of this idea, BTB? If this is a good idea (hint: it is) then we can also start a thread for NFL picks. I'm willing to put my reputation on the line if it will benefit the community here. Heck, we can even do a CFL thread if there's interest there. I tweeted the BC Lions -1 back on Monday as this weekend's best CFL bet, and it easily cashed. I'm 10-3 last 13 CFL.

Obviously, I'm not intending this to be a thread where you can throw out a dozen picks every weekend.. I'm thinking more along the lines of a Best Bet type of play, where you feel very strongly about a game (or two, or three) and are actually betting real money on yourself. Fake picks which you're not actually wagering on yourself - need not apply.

If this is a good idea (Hint, Hint: IT IS), then let me get it started with my biggest play of the weekend, tomorrow..

OREGON -3 (-115) (Pinnacle)

[Beyond the Bets]

Good idea. I like it.

[inlikeflinn]

Excellent idea...put me down for:

1. First Half Line on Texas -14
Who knows what happens with the Longhorns this year, but they've been really quiet thus far this preseason and I think they have something to prove. I'm not sure they cover 24.5 for the game cause I like what Rice has on the offensive side of the ball, but I think Texas comes out strong and gets there in the first half.

2. LSU/Oregon - Under 54
Not sold that Oregon runs up and down the field on LSU and I think with the craziness in Baton Rouge over the last few weeks the offense struggles to keep drives going. I see this game in the 40s.

Also looking at, though not officially on these yet:
Fresno State +10 - the number looks like a sucker bet to me
Florida State -29 - Four TDs is shaky for me, but high on FSU right now
Colorado State -6.5 - Fade the Locksley gents...fade the Locksley

Whoa, so if put up a donut does that mean my reputation goes to negative?

[Skating Tripods]

I look at the games in segments on Saturday's. I do pre-3:30 games, then later I look at 3:30 games. Then the night games, etc.

So, I've got two plays in so far.

Air Force -34.5 v. S. Dakota: S. Dakota faced two FCS option teams last year and gave up 11 TDs in those games. Against a FBS option, I expect them to be overwhelmed despite a senior-laden group. USAF hung 65 last year and 72 the year before in Week 1.

Utah St./Auburn o57: Chizik said he's going to go uptempo with the offense. If they run 90 plays, I imagine they score at least 6 times with the athleticism that they have. Utah St. has enough talent and weapons to do a little damage against Auburn's inexperienced D. Plus, they're playing free and easy with nothing to lose. Auburn strikes me as the kind of team to mail it in late with a big lead. With this number, I asked myself, "How many points does Utah St. need to score to put the game over?" I said 14 minimum. I think that can be done. Looks like a 48-14, 48-21 game to me.


Still looking at the later games.

---

Just added Fordham +43. Hard to justify a 5-6 FCS team, but that's a huge number of points with a UConn offense that is completely rebuilt, a new coach, and a downgrade at LB against a team that will run an option all day.

I can't see UConn going into the 50s, so one TD for Fordham should be a cover.

[RyanParrill]

Illinois -19 down from -21, so Ill go with that.

[patrickjbyrne]

I have Boston College -190
Alabama -38.5
Middle TN +14.5

and a junk parlay on all 20+ favorites to win outright

[Beyond the Bets]

Patrick,

You should post more. You've done pretty well overall.

[ChiefZilla]

(09-04-2011 11:54 AM)Beyond the Bets Wrote:  Patrick,

You should post more. You've done pretty well overall.

As a bettor who backed Patrick's advice on NIU -10 yesterday, I second this notion.

We need more Patrick in 2011!

[itg_sports]

Any thoughts on West Virginia and Marshall going over. Holgorsen ran teams always put up lots of points. Can Marshall fill the gap?

[kreatture]

(09-04-2011 12:33 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  Any thoughts on West Virginia and Marshall going over. Holgorsen ran teams always put up lots of points. Can Marshall fill the gap?

I heard the weather forecast is bringing the Total down. It's dropped to 52.5. A couple respected Sharps I follow on Twitter have said they like Under.

[thekidrounder]

(09-04-2011 01:25 PM)Mr Lucky Wrote:  

(09-04-2011 12:33 PM)itg_sports Wrote:  Any thoughts on West Virginia and Marshall going over. Holgorsen ran teams always put up lots of points. Can Marshall fill the gap?

I heard the weather forecast is bringing the Total down. It's dropped to 52.5. A couple respected Sharps I follow on Twitter have said they like Under.

BTB can we get a twitter list of the sharps/guys u follow not including the beat writers (have all of them lol so much twitter) would like to make a second account to follow strictly for the betting side of games. Or anyone else feel free to post the guys they follow.

[Beyond the Bets]

@ToddFuhrman and @So_Money_Sports are good accounts to follow. I'll actually try to put together a full list sometime soon.