CFB ATS data: teams generally regress after strong ats season

[SkyBlues42]

From the main page: http://beyondthebets.com/ready-set-regre...-the-feat/

Even though I assumed that this might be the case, it's still pretty interesting. Of the 160 teams that made the cut, only 10 percent improved -- or matched -- their ats records from the season before.

Any factors that you think directly correlate to this trend? New coaches, losing starters, oddsmakers adjusting after strong ats seasons, etc.?

[Beyond the Bets]

I'd like to take a look at the opposite end of this: How do god-awful teams (say, 3 ATS wins or less) fare the next season? In fact, that might have been a better place to start.

Public perception of crappy teams is probably far more likely to remain constant than with a good team (say, Stanford or Oklahoma State). Gotta figure teams like Kansas or Maryland will be getting a few 'extra' points this year, but maybe not.