Bet you wish you could have back

[zman1415]

Not the worst bet I've ever made, but probably close: Arizona St +14.5 today. Why bet on a shell of a team with no coaches and no discipline against a machine that's done nothing but dismantle people for the last 7 years. Because a "number is good"? Blah. I need to stop overthinking some of my bets trying to be 'sharp'. The 'sharp' idea there was that it was a letdown spot for Boise in a bad bowl game as a top 10 team and that it was windy so the score would be kept down a little, and whatever else. In cases where I'm considering playing against my (very square) gut because it seems to be a 'sharp' side, I need to strongly consider staying away, not actually playing it.

[mattrud]

Seems like you were either high on the Eagles or just fading the Seahawks. I'm not going to lie, I didn't think the Seahawks would win the game, and I'm a fan. It's so difficult to look at Philadelphia and not believe that they have the best talent on the field.

Match that with the fact that Seattle hadn't looked good offensively, and I could see why you went big.

But, Seattle at home is a completely different team. I actually think they win out to have a SLIM chance at making the playoffs.
[/quote]

Yeah, I thought the Eagles were starting to get undervalued and was fading the Seahawks. I've also faded Marshawn Lynch since he's been in the league; I think he's always been overrated just because of the whole "Beast Mode" appeal.

But yeah, Seattle at home. Mistake. They could sneak in but I think the Lions will win this week and clinch.

[victortrash]

USC '88, week 11. They were beating the pants off of everyone and was undefeated at that point. In comes Notre Dame with a -4 line that I thought was a gift. Bet the barn and then some. USC ended up losing 10-27 and I stopped betting on football till a few years ago.

[Weebay]

Victor,

I have been trying to search online to see what the spread was during that 88 season when Miami played at Notre Dame. Just by guessing I would think Miami layed 7 at south bend but have no idea where to confirm it. By chance, do you know what the line was for that game, since you brought up the 88 season?

[SkyBlues42]

Memphis ML against Georgetown. I played it hoping to have a lead at halftime, but it went south, quickly. Then for the remainder of the game, the Tigers teased me with a few comebacks before laying one final egg.

Couldn't get much value throughout. Very frustrating game last night.

[ChiefZilla]

(12-23-2011 02:09 AM)zman1415 Wrote:  Not the worst bet I've ever made, but probably close: Arizona St +14.5 today. Why bet on a shell of a team with no coaches and no discipline against a machine that's done nothing but dismantle people for the last 7 years. Because a "number is good"? Blah. I need to stop overthinking some of my bets trying to be 'sharp'. The 'sharp' idea there was that it was a letdown spot for Boise in a bad bowl game as a top 10 team and that it was windy so the score would be kept down a little, and whatever else. In cases where I'm considering playing against my (very square) gut because it seems to be a 'sharp' side, I need to strongly consider staying away, not actually playing it.

I almost got lured into teary-eyed Dennis Erickson in the pregame, thinking, "Man, he loves to coach! The players are going to play HARD for him in his last game!"

I'm very glad I stayed away.

[mount187]

I lost a huge bet on Manchester United in the UCL this year. They were like -750 on the m/l at home against some team I'd never heard of (at the time). I was bored at work, and thought, "I'll make a few extra bucks real quick, since United is in a terrible group. Besides, they always win all their UCL home fixtures." They did not win, and that one hurt.

[victortrash]

(12-23-2011 07:43 AM)Weebay Wrote:  Victor,

I have been trying to search online to see what the spread was during that 88 season when Miami played at Notre Dame. Just by guessing I would think Miami layed 7 at south bend but have no idea where to confirm it. By chance, do you know what the line was for that game, since you brought up the 88 season?

The final line was Miami -3.5 v Notre Dame.

[Weebay]

(12-23-2011 01:56 PM)victortrash Wrote:  

(12-23-2011 07:43 AM)Weebay Wrote:  Victor,

I have been trying to search online to see what the spread was during that 88 season when Miami played at Notre Dame. Just by guessing I would think Miami layed 7 at south bend but have no idea where to confirm it. By chance, do you know what the line was for that game, since you brought up the 88 season?

The final line was Miami -3.5 v Notre Dame.

Thanks Victoy

[gatorx]

every parlay ever

Wisky over TCU last year

UGA over UCF last year

USF over Pitt this year

any bet on TJ "mothereffing" Yates

oh yea, and every bet I made in November...took my $600 off the Cardinals WS win + early CFB winnings down to a measly $40.

[oddsok]

(12-23-2011 01:24 PM)mount187 Wrote:  I lost a huge bet on Manchester United in the UCL this year. They were like -750 on the m/l at home against some team I'd never heard of (at the time). I was bored at work, and thought, "I'll make a few extra bucks real quick, since United is in a terrible group. Besides, they always win all their UCL home fixtures." They did not win, and that one hurt.

Crystal Palace? I remember discussing this game with a friend of mine (if that's the one). Just too unpredictable and I could never lay so much. Seemed like a trap. Live and learn hey!

[mount187]

(12-23-2011 07:13 PM)oddsok Wrote:  

(12-23-2011 01:24 PM)mount187 Wrote:  I lost a huge bet on Manchester United in the UCL this year. They were like -750 on the m/l at home against some team I'd never heard of (at the time). I was bored at work, and thought, "I'll make a few extra bucks real quick, since United is in a terrible group. Besides, they always win all their UCL home fixtures." They did not win, and that one hurt.

Crystal Palace? I remember discussing this game with a friend of mine (if that's the one). Just too unpredictable and I could never lay so much. Seemed like a trap. Live and learn hey!

Maybe it was the Carling, and not the UCL then. Seems like it was CP. I know United was a giant favorite and home and didn't come through. I just remember watching the minutes tick away like, "They'll clean this up in 'Fergie Time'." They didn't.

[SkyBlues42]

(12-23-2011 04:45 PM)gatorx Wrote:  every parlay ever

Wisky over TCU last year

UGA over UCF last year

USF over Pitt this year

any bet on TJ "mothereffing" Yates

oh yea, and every bet I made in November...took my $600 off the Cardinals WS win + early CFB winnings down to a measly $40.

I'm sure you hit a FEW parlays. But I get your point.