14 Hours of Hoops!

[laxbrah420]

You guys have been talking about the possibility of "easy" or "soft" lines at the beginning of the season, but Im finding that the line has had a rare propensity to be +/- 2 vs actual outcomes --at least in the games I've been following. Even for the best cappers, these have been mere -110 coinflips. At this point in the season, I like teasers despite the general disdain for them in anything besides football. That, and high chalk two team parlays on MLs or bought pts. It seems like you guys have been mostly profitable thus far --but until we learn more about the way these teams pace, and who likes to run up the score at the end (i.e. washington), I think it's difficult to be too confident in anything.

Has anyone kept good enough tabs yet to be able to produce a histogram of the difference between outcomes and lines? I've read on this site, "the line doesn't matter" because x% of the time it doesn't matter --but I'd like to view this #1 -YTD and #2 visually. Also that statement was in reference to NFL --I'm thinking college basketball might be entirely different beast

Edit: I'm sure you all will be quick to mention the major upsets thus far and the couple of blowouts, but I think for every one or two of those, you'll see a lot more "lines that matter"

Edit 2: A cool way to test might be to measure IF the line at any point from open to close touched the actual difference.