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NFL public betting percentages - Beyond the Bets - 10-04-2011 06:14 PM
Here's a list of the total percentage of bets placed on NFL teams on a week-by-week basis. Obviously, the schedule can skew the results this early in the season, but it might be interesting to track as the season progresses.
To give you an example, public betting percentages on the Pats week by week were as follows: 76.0%, 62.1%, 60% and 65.9% = 66%.
1. Patriots 66
2. Ravens 65.5
2. Packers 65.5
4. Falcons 64.6
5. Steelers 64.3
6. Saints 62.9
7. Giants 62.5
8. Lions 62.4
9. Redskins 55.4
10. Chargers 54.6
11. Cardinals 53.4
12. Eagles 52.9
13. Jets 52.5
14. Bills 52.3
15. Texans 50.4
15. Titans 50.4
17. Vikings 50.3
18. Browns 50.2
19. Cowboys 49.5
20. Broncos 48.9
21. 49ers 46.7
22. Colts 45
23. Panthers 43.0
24. Dolphins 40.9
25. Bucs 40.6
26. Bears 40.3
27. Raiders 40.2
28. Chiefs 39.5
29. Bengals 35.9
30. Seahawks 32.5
31. Rams 32.1
32. Jaguars 30.5
RE: NFL public betting percentages - Black Mamba - 10-04-2011 07:23 PM
I was curious how these teams have fared ATS so far. It looks like the public has probably cleaned up to this point.
1. Patriots 66 3-1
2. Ravens 65.5 3-1
2. Packers 65.5 3-1
4. Falcons 64.6 1-3
5. Steelers 64.3 1-3
6. Saints 62.9 3-1
7. Giants 62.5 3-1
8. Lions 62.4 3-0-1
9. Redskins 55.4 3-1
10. Chargers 54.6 1-3
11. Cardinals 53.4 1-2-1
12. Eagles 52.9 1-3
13. Jets 52.5 1-2
14. Bills 52.3 2-2
15. Texans 50.4 3-1
15. Titans 50.4 2-2
17. Vikings 50.3 1-2-1
18. Browns 50.2 2-2
19. Cowboys 49.5 1-2-1
20. Broncos 48.9 1-3
21. 49ers 46.7 3-0-1
22. Colts 45 2-2
23. Panthers 43.0 3-0-1
24. Dolphins 40.9 0-4
25. Bucs 40.6 2-2
26. Bears 40.3 1-3
27. Raiders 40.2 3-1
28. Chiefs 39.5 2-2
29. Bengals 35.9 3-1
30. Seahawks 32.5 2-2
31. Rams 32.1 0-4
32. Jaguars 30.5 1-3
RE: NFL public betting percentages - Beyond the Bets - 10-04-2011 09:23 PM
Pretty interesting. I do know the public has been cleaning up on teasers in primetime games. Regardless of side or total, they're winning on everything.
RE: NFL public betting percentages - Skating Tripods - 10-04-2011 09:31 PM
(10-04-2011 09:23 PM)Beyond the Bets Wrote: Pretty interesting. I do know the public has been cleaning up on teasers in primetime games. Regardless of side or total, they're winning on everything.
Could be something to explore with Fuhrman.
How much value will the public's early success create for the sharps later in the season?
But, in turn, how will the books walk the tightrope of adding points to the public sides but preventing the sharps from pounding the underdog side at a more valuable, sometimes above key, number?
Is the volume of the public enough to compensate for the bigger bets of the wiseguys, especially if they start to get more value on dogs against public teams?
RE: NFL public betting percentages - Beyond the Bets - 10-04-2011 09:41 PM
Wrong thread?
RE: NFL public betting percentages - Skating Tripods - 10-04-2011 10:29 PM
(10-04-2011 09:41 PM)Beyond the Bets Wrote: Wrong thread?
Nah, just more topic relevant here.
I'm boycotting that event until Fuhrman answers my email.
RE: NFL public betting percentages - Beyond the Bets - 10-05-2011 01:07 AM
Would make for a good question.
RE: NFL public betting percentages - Skating Tripods - 10-05-2011 10:22 AM
(10-05-2011 01:07 AM)Beyond the Bets Wrote: Would make for a good question.
Would also make me look like an epic asshole.