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PrintBack in December, 5Dimes released conference-only win totals for 23 different teams in the Big 6 leagues.
Now that we’re three or four games away from the end of college basketball’s regular season, we thought it’d be interesting to do a final check-in to see who lived up to (or failed to live up to) expectations the most.
Four teams—Georgetown, Michigan State, Kansas State and UCLA—have already surpassed their win total and are among the biggest overachievers this season, while it’s impossible for eight of schools to reach their over/under. Nine of the 23 are projected to go over and 14 are projected to come up short.
Take a look.
ACC
DUKE
Over/Under: 16½ (over +155)
Current Record: 11-3
Games Remaining (4): at Virginia, vs. Miami, vs. Virginia Tech, at North Carolina
Projection: 14-4 (under)
MARYLAND
Over/Under: 11½ (over +120)
Current Record: 7-7
Games Remaining (4): at Georgia Tech, at Wake Forest, vs. North Carolina, at Virginia
Projection: 9-9 (under)
NC STATE
Over/Under: 11½ (over -135)
Current Record: 8-6
Games Remaining (4): vs. Boston College, at Georgia Tech, vs. Wake Forest, at Florida State
Projection: 11-7 (under)
NORTH CAROLINA
Over/Under: 9½ (over -170)
Current Record: 9-5
Games Remaining (4): at Clemson, vs. Florida State, at Maryland, vs. Duke
Projection: 11-7 (over)
* * *
BIG EAST
CINCINNATI
Over/Under: 13½ (over +115)
Current Record: 7-8
Games Remaining (3): vs. Connecticut, at Louisville, vs. South Florida
Projection: 9-9 (under)
GEORGETOWN
Over/Under: 9½ (over -115)
Current Record: 11-3
Games Remaining (4): at Connecticut, vs. Rutgers, at Villanova, vs. Syracuse
Projection: 14-4 (over)
LOUISVILLE
Over/Under: 14½ (over -105)
Current Record: 10-4
Games Remaining (4): at DePaul, at Syracuse, vs. Cincinnati, vs. Notre Dame
Projection: 13-5 (under)
NOTRE DAME
Over/Under: 11½ (over -115)
Current Record: 10-5
Games Remaining (3): at Marquette, vs. St. John’s, at Louisville
Projection: 11-7 (under)
PITTSBURGH
Over/Under: 11½ (over -120)
Current Record: 9-6
Games Remaining (3): vs. South Florida, vs. Villanova, at DePaul
Projection: 12-6 (over)
SYRACUSE
Over/Under: 13½ (over -120)
Current Record: 10-5
Games Remaining (3): vs. Louisville, vs. DePaul, at Georgetown
Projection: 12-6 (under)
* * *
BIG TEN
ILLINOIS
Over/Under: 9½ (over +110)
Current Record: 7-8
Games Remaining (3): vs. Nebraska, at Iowa, at Ohio State
Projection: 8-10 (under)
INDIANA
Over/Under: 13½ (over -130)
Current Record: 12-2
Games Remaining (4): at Minnesota, vs. Iowa, vs. Ohio State, at Michigan
Projection: 15-3 (over)
MICHIGAN
Over/Under: 13½ (over +140)
Current Record: 10-4
Games Remaining (4): at Penn State, vs. Michigan State, at Purdue, vs. Indiana
Projection: 13-5 (under)
MICHIGAN STATE
Over/Under: 9½ (over +110)
Current Record: 11-4
Games Remaining (3): at Michigan, vs. Wisconsin, vs. Northwestern
Projection: 13-5 (over)
MINNESOTA
Over/Under: 13½ (over +135)
Current Record: 6-8
Games Remaining (4): vs. Indiana, vs. Penn State, at Nebraska, at Purdue
Projection: 8-10 (under)
OHIO STATE
Over/Under: 12½ (over -145)
Current Record: 10-5
Games Remaining (3): at Northwestern, at Indiana, vs. Illinois
Projection: 12-6 (under)
* * *
BIG 12
KANSAS
Over/Under: 15½ (over -160)
Current Record: 12-3
Games Remaining (3): vs. West Virginia, vs. Texas Tech, at Baylor
Projection: 15-3 (under)
KANSAS STATE
Over/Under: 10½ (over +115)
Current Record: 12-3
Games Remaining (3): at Baylor, vs. TCU, at Oklahoma State
Projection: 13-5 (over)
OKLAHOMA STATE
Over/Under: 12½ (over +115)
Current Record: 10-4
Games Remaining (4): at TCU, vs. Texas, at Iowa State, vs. Kansas State
Projection: 13-5 (over)
* * *
PAC-12
ARIZONA
Over/Under: 14½ (over -185)
Current Record: 11-4
Games Remaining (3): at USC, at UCLA, vs. Arizona State
Projection: 13-5 (under)
UCLA
Over/Under: 9½ (over -350)
Current Record: 10-4
Games Remaining (4): vs. Arizona State, vs. Arizona, at Washington State, at Washington
Projection: 13-5 (over)
* * *
SEC
FLORIDA
Over/Under: 15½ (over -110)
Current Record: 12-2
Games Remaining (4): at Tennessee, vs. Alabama, vs. Vanderbilt, at Kentucky
Projection: 16-2 (over)
KENTUCKY
Over/Under: 13½ (over -120)
Current Record: 10-4
Games Remaining (4): vs. Mississippi State, at Arkansas, at Georgia, vs. Florida
Projection: 12-6 (under)
