Mail
PrintWhat a predicament we could have on our hands.
Four teams fell from the ranks of the unbeaten last weekend, leaving us with six remaining undefeated schools in college football: One from each of the BCS conferences (except the ACC) plus a Notre Dame team that now looks like it could run the table after stomping Oklahoma as 10.5-point road underdogs.
What are the chances each of these teams remain perfect through the regular season? We provide our answer here.
* * *
As we do every week now, using our power ratings, adjusted projected point spreads and win odds, we’ve come up with a table below detailing the week-by-week chances of each team staying unblemished.
A few items of note:
- Notre Dame was at only 6 percent last weekend but jumped all the way up to 33 percent thanks to a 30-13 blowout of Oklahoma on the road. The Irish’s only remaining hurdle comes in the last game of the season as 3.5-point underdogs at USC.
- Kansas State has the second-best futures odds but the worst chance (30%) of going through the regular season unscathed. Ah, the benefits of no conference championship game.
- If Alabama (71%) makes it through this weekend at LSU, their odds will shift to essentially 100 percent. (Not including the SEC Championship Game, of course.)
* * *
1. CC = Conference Championship
2. The percentage indicates the likelihood of that team being unbeaten AFTER the week at the top.
3. An asterisk indicates a bye week.
4. Futures odds were taken from sportsbook.ag.
| TEAM | BCS Rank | FUTURES | WEEK 10 | WEEK 11 | WEEK 12 | WEEK 13 | WEEK 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 1 | Even | 75% | 71% | 71% | 71% | CC |
| Kansas St | 2 | +300 | 75% | 53% | 39% | 39%* | 30% |
| Oregon | 4 | +450 | 73% | 72% | 65% | 54% | CC |
| Notre Dame | 3 | +600 | 89% | 84% | 84% | 33% | 33%* |
| Ohio St | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100%* | 57% | 40% | CC |
| Louisville | 10 | +20000 | 87% | 64% | 64%* | 57% | 27% |
