It’s two highly public teams from gigantic markets on Monday Night Football, which means sportsbooks should receive a ton of action on tonight’s Bears-Cowboys game. Hard to believe these two NFC heavyweights have only met three times since 1998, right?
The point spread for this game isn’t moving that much, but the under has received a lot of attention.
What follows is a breakdown of the point spread for the game, with news, notes, quotes and anecdotes to help you make your bets.
Keep in mind: The “edge” is merely a suggestion, and not something we necessarily recommend playing.
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BEARS AT COWBOYS, 8:30 P.M. ET
OPENING POINT SPREAD: Dallas -3 | CURRENT: Dallas -3 | OVER/UNDER: 41.5 | TV: ESPN
SUMMARY: The line has stayed right around 3 for quite some time, but the Cowboys’ side has been juiced to -120 or -125 at most sportsbooks are afraid of sharp money coming in on Chicago if it’s moved to 3.5. The over/under, however, has seen a significant nosedive, opening at 45 and dropping all the way to 41.5.
STORYLINES: Do you dare back a team that is just 4-17-1 ATS as a favorite since the beginning of the 2009 season, including a 3-12 ATS mark at Cowboys Stadium?
The Cowboys have been awful as a favorite over the past three seasons, and that’s continued this year with an outright loss at Seattle in Week 2 and a failure to cover against Tampa Bay last week.
You know we’re expecting a defensive struggle when the over/under for total sacks is 5 at sportsbook.ag, and even that’s been juiced to -180 on the over. Both teams have an above-average pass rush, and neither can protect the quarterback. Jay Cutler and Tony Romo could find trouble getting into any sort of rhythm, which explains the big move on the under earlier this week.
Matt Forte was originally supposed to be a game-time decision with his high ankle sprain, but it looks like he’ll play tonight, albeit in a somewhat-limited role.
EDGE: In a game that could turn into a defensive struggle, it’s just too difficult to take the favorite, especially one that almost never covers in that role. The best possible number is long gone, but we’d still lean towards the under in this one.